9

Soul Of The Night

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 83

Churchill Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

41%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS7/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Ellis Park?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength72%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20265th7/163%60%-0.03