Jr Miss Buttercup
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 84
Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |