3
Memory
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 97
Churchill Downs · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |