Soho Jimmy
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 77
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-02-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +16.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |