5

Booted Up

4yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 70

Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 01/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS1/06C6C6 @ Monmouth Park 11/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 72 · 1m Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 72 par11/07C6OR 72C6 @ Monmouth Park 09/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 78 par9/08C6OR 78C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 79 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 79 par4/10C8OR 79C8 @ Delaware Park 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m70y 120 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 75 par18/06C8OR 75C8 @ Delaware Park 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 64 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 64 par21/08C8OR 64C8 @ Delaware Park 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f 123 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 68 par3/09C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-08-21Delaware Park?5th5th0
2026-06-18Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2025-10-04Belmont At The Big A?6th6th0
2025-08-09Monmouth Park?1st-1th+2
2025-07-11Monmouth Park?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/064/103/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength16%

Delivery trend -5.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20253rd10/147%60%+0.13
11/07/20256th9/153%0%-0.53
09/08/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
04/10/20256th12/137%17%-0.20
18/06/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64
21/08/20265th11/486%33%-0.52
03/09/20264th2/189%40%-0.49