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Good As He Gets

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 86

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Finger Lakes 10/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark10/11/2025 · OR 82 par10/11C8OR 82C8 @ Finger Lakes 25/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 80 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark25/11/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 82 · 1m39y 120 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 82 par15/04C8OR 82C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Delaware Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 82 par23/05C7OR 82C7 @ Penn National 02/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Delaware Park 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 1m110y Slo 121 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 85 par22/07C8OR 85C8 @ Delaware Park 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Delaware Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 94 · 1m70y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 94 par12/09C7OR 94projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Delaware Park?8th7th+1
2026-08-21Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-22Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-06-02Penn National?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-23Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-04-26Tampa Bay Downs?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1126/0422/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/11/20254th11/1094%57%-0.37
25/11/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
15/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
26/04/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
23/05/20264th3/184%50%-0.34
02/06/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03
22/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
21/08/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
12/09/20268th20/10%13%+0.13