4
Midnight Onyx
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 88
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 56% | -0.30 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |