6
Kazillion
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2024-03-10 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2023 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 21/12/2023 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 06/01/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 18/02/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 10/03/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 25/01/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/02/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 16/03/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |