8
Aaraj
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Penn National | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 20/09/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |