9
City Panda
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 03/09/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |