6
Harbor Of Gold
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |