5
Megan's Honor
9yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |