7
Mr. Squeaky Wheels
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |
| 24/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 27/02/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 12/09/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |