1

Nano Man
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 55% | -0.31 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |