Rob The Rich
9yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 83
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |