2
Ginger Girl
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 72
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |