4

Cloud In The Wind

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 68

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Penn National 01/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 94 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/05/2025 · OR 94 par1/05C5OR 94C5 @ Penn National 22/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 88 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2025 · OR 88 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 91 · 6f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/06/2025 · OR 91 par23/06C6OR 91C6 @ Penn National 28/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 92 · 1m70y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2025 · OR 92 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 91 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/09/2025 · OR 91 par23/09C6OR 91C8 @ Penn National 28/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Penn National 17/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 2 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 77 par17/06C8OR 77C7 @ Penn National 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Penn National 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 68 par14/08C7OR 68projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Penn National?5th4th+1
2026-07-25Penn National?8th7th+1
2026-06-17Penn National?1st1st0
2025-11-28Penn National?6th6th0
2025-09-23Presque Isle Downs?5th3rd+2
2025-08-28Penn National?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0528/0817/0614/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
22/05/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
23/06/20252nd11/271%80%+0.09
28/08/20253rd9/276%60%-0.16
23/09/20255th4/179%0%-0.79
28/11/20256th9/488%29%-0.60
17/06/20261st2/999%100%+0.01
25/07/20268th13/266%0%-0.66
14/08/20265th8/158%0%-0.58