Combat Hoofs
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 76
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |