5
Infastuation
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 72
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |