2
Mabee Luckynwild
7yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 71
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |