3

Miss Neo

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 75

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Monmouth Park 13/07/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark13/07/2024 · OR 60 par13/07C8OR 60C8 @ Monmouth Park 21/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 59 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark21/07/2024 · OR 59 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 11/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark11/08/2024 · OR 65 par11/08C8OR 65C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 12/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark12/01/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Delaware Park 18/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 71 · 6f 121 · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 71 par18/07C8OR 71C8 @ Delaware Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 66 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 57 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 57 par26/06C8OR 57C8 @ Delaware Park 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 57 · 6f Slo 125 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 57 parC8 @ Monmouth Park 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 66 par22/08C8OR 66projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Monmouth Park?1st1st0
2026-07-29Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-06-26Monmouth Park?1st1st0
2025-09-20Delaware Park?9th9th0
2025-07-18Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2025-01-12Tampa Bay Downs?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0712/0126/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20244th20/10%40%+0.40
21/07/20242nd9/153%83%+0.31
11/08/20241st10/1195%100%+0.05
12/01/20255th11/271%43%-0.28
18/07/20252nd7/282%67%-0.15
20/09/20259th16/116%0%-0.16
26/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
29/07/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
22/08/20261st8/158%100%+0.42