4

African Kingfisher

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 61

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Gates Of Olympus Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 47y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fifth of 14 in maiden (10/1) at Kenilworth (6f, good to soft) 39 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12815/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Kenilworth?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20265th8/158%69%+0.11