6

Final Call
4yo Filly · 9-12
Durbanville · Join The Passion Apprentice Class 5 · 6f 47y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Durbanville | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Kenilworth | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kenilworth | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Durbanville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 24/12/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 13/01/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 22% | -0.33 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 01/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 31% | -0.30 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |