6

Final Call

4yo Filly · 9-12

Durbanville · Join The Passion Apprentice Class 5 · 6f 47y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Latest win here in July. 8/1, good second of 7 in handicap at this C&D (good) 32 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 26/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13226/11C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1314 @ Kenilworth 13/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS13/0145 @ Durbanville 14/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1315 @ Durbanville 04/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1304/0355 @ Kenilworth 01/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1315 @ Kenilworth 03/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1323/0555 @ Durbanville 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1335 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13722/085projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville52nd2nd0
2026-07-14Durbanville51st1st0
2026-05-03Kenilworth510th10th0
2026-04-01Kenilworth52nd2nd0
2026-03-04Durbanville53rd3rd0
2026-02-14Durbanville54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1114/023/0522/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength73%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20254th25/10%70%+0.70
24/12/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
13/01/20268th17/255%22%-0.33
14/02/20264th25/10%67%+0.67
04/03/20263rd8/158%67%+0.09
01/04/20262nd7/491%86%-0.05
03/05/202610th15/261%31%-0.30
14/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
22/08/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23