4
Kliptown
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 69
Durbanville · Join The Passion Apprentice Class 5 · 6f 47y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Kenilworth | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Kenilworth | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -14.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 21/01/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |