2
Wave Of Glory
5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 55
Durbanville · Join The Passion Apprentice Class 5 · 6f 47y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-10-15 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-02-08 | Kenilworth | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2025-01-11 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 22/12/2024 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 11/01/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 08/02/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 47% | -0.22 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |