4

Boozy Susie

4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 75

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Diamond Riches Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

51%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at this C&D (good, 17/10) 32 days ago by length from Amayah. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kenilworth 26/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13326/1155 @ Kenilworth 17/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1364 @ Durbanville 17/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12217/014C5 @ Kenilworth 04/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1164 @ Kenilworth 01/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f103y Gd 1311/0444 @ Kenilworth 31/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1294 @ Kenilworth 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f101y GS 12721/0644 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 1294 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12822/084projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville41st1st0
2026-07-18Durbanville42nd2nd0
2026-06-21Kenilworth44th4th0
2026-05-31Kenilworth48th8th0
2026-04-01Kenilworth49th9th0
2026-02-04Kenilworth?6th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/114/0221/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20255th9/276%60%-0.16
17/12/20252nd9/488%88%-0.01
17/01/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11
04/02/20266th5/174%17%-0.57
01/04/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
31/05/20268th14/126%36%+0.10
21/06/20264th12/137%70%+0.33
18/07/20262nd11/486%91%+0.05
22/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09