5

Lady Veritas

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 66

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Diamond Riches Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Latest win here in July. 13/2, 6¼ lengths last of 9 to Boozy Susie in handicap at this C&D (good) 32 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 12/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f101y Sft 12312/06C8C8 @ Durbanville 05/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 128C8 @ Durbanville 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 12825/10C85 @ Kenilworth 26/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1314 @ Kenilworth 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 1231/0444 @ Kenilworth 03/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m209y Sft 1264 @ Kenilworth 31/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12631/0544 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 1304 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13222/084projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville49th9th0
2026-07-18Durbanville41st1st0
2026-05-31Kenilworth45th5th0
2026-05-03Kenilworth410th10th0
2026-04-01Kenilworth44th4th0
2025-11-26Kenilworth56th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0626/1131/0522/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength3%

Delivery trend -4.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20253rd13/266%82%+0.16
05/10/20254th9/153%70%+0.17
25/10/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
26/11/20256th5/174%50%-0.24
01/04/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
03/05/202610th9/153%10%-0.43
31/05/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
18/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
22/08/20269th11/271%0%-0.71