7
Bourbon King
4yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 76
Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets Class 4 · 7f 210y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Durbanville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 30/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |