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9

Coffee Crunch

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 57

Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets Class 4 · 7f 210y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Kenilworth in June. 25/1, fifth of 7 in handicap at this course (6.2f, good) 21 days ago. Up in trip. Not taken lightly.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13327/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13324/05C8C8 @ Kenilworth 21/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13221/06C84 @ Durbanville 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1282/094projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Durbanville45th5th0
2026-06-21Kenilworth?1st6th−4
2026-05-24Kenilworth?7th12th−4
2026-04-27Kenilworth?5th10th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0424/0521/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20265th40/10%64%+0.64
24/05/20267th4/179%33%-0.46
21/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
02/09/20265th22/10%33%+0.33