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2

Man Of Consequence

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 65

Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets Class 4 · 7f 210y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, creditable sixth of 10 in minor event at this course (7f, good) 32 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 09/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1299/09C8C8 @ Durbanville 18/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 127C8 @ Kenilworth 19/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12819/11C85 @ Kenilworth 17/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 133C5 @ Durbanville 17/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12917/01C55 @ Kenilworth 22/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1364 @ Kenilworth 15/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12515/0444 @ Kenilworth 16/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f101y Sft 127C5 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13222/08C5projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville?6th7th−1
2026-05-16Kenilworth48th8th0
2026-04-15Kenilworth48th8th0
2026-02-22Kenilworth52nd3rd−1
2026-01-17Durbanville?8th9th−1
2025-12-17Kenilworth53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0917/1215/0422/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength32%

Delivery trend +7.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20256th11/486%55%-0.31
18/10/202512th5/174%21%-0.52
19/11/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
17/12/20253rd15/261%71%+0.11
17/01/20268th3/184%13%-0.72
22/02/20262nd6/168%89%+0.20
15/04/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
16/05/20268th33/10%0%0.00
22/08/20266th20/10%44%+0.44