5
Royal Influencer
4yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 72
Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets Class 4 · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-05-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-04-18 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 13th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |