6
Signor Dante
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 78
Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets Class 4 · 7f 210y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kenilworth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kenilworth | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Kenilworth | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Kenilworth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Durbanville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 13/01/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |