1
Yamazaki
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 78
Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets Class 4 · 7f 210y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Durbanville | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Durbanville | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Durbanville | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Kenilworth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 13/01/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 79% | -0.00 |
| 18/03/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |