8
Fort Yukon
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 70
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 5 · 7f 210y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength55%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Durbanville | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Durbanville | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kenilworth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Durbanville | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |