9

Meet The King

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 55

Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 5 · 7f 210y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. 20/1, eighth of 10 in minor event at this course (7f, good) 32 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.9
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 22/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 12822/09C8C8 @ Durbanville 29/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132C8 @ Kenilworth 19/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13019/11C8C8 @ Durbanville 17/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1325 @ Durbanville 11/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13611/0254 @ Durbanville 04/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Durbanville 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS25/0344 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS22/08C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville?8th7th+1
2026-07-18Durbanville47th6th+1
2026-03-25Durbanville43rd2nd+1
2026-03-04Durbanville45th4th+1
2026-02-11Durbanville57th7th0
2026-01-17Durbanville?1st5th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0917/0125/0322/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20253rd14/126%80%+0.54
29/10/20254th8/1196%63%-0.34
19/11/20259th9/276%38%-0.38
17/01/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
11/02/20267th10/147%25%-0.22
04/03/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
25/03/20263rd22/10%80%+0.80
18/07/20267th20/10%33%+0.33
22/08/20268th16/116%22%+0.06