7

Prince Of Tibet
6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 58
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 5 · 7f 210y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Durbanville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kenilworth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Durbanville | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kenilworth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |