6

Warrior Of Destiny

3yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 77

Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 5 · 7f 210y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

9/2, didn't need to be at best when winning 8-runner maiden at Kenilworth (8f, good to soft) 42 days ago. Not taken lightly.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 21/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13221/12C8C8 @ Kenilworth 13/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 132C1 @ Kenilworth 31/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f103y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS31/01C1C8 @ Kenilworth 22/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 132C8 @ Kenilworth 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13218/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132C8 @ Kenilworth 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13216/06C8C8 @ Durbanville 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132C8 @ Kenilworth 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12612/08C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Kenilworth?1st5th3
2026-07-14Durbanville?2nd6th3
2026-06-16Kenilworth?4th8th3
2026-05-24Kenilworth?4th8th3
2026-04-18Kenilworth?6th10th3
2026-02-22Kenilworth?6th10th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1222/0216/0612/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20254th8/158%0%-0.58
13/01/20268th25/10%42%+0.42
31/01/20268th66/10%42%+0.42
22/02/20266th7/163%58%-0.05
18/04/20266th28/10%50%+0.50
24/05/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
16/06/20264th22/10%50%+0.50
14/07/20262nd6/492%83%-0.09
12/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21