5

Roadhouse Warrior
2yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 54
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |