5

Roadhouse Warrior

2yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 54

Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 12/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 12312/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 06/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 40 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 40 par6/08C6OR 40C6 @ Finger Lakes 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 48 · 5f Slo 121 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 48 par2/09C6OR 48projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-08-06Saratoga?10th10th0
2026-07-12Saratoga?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/076/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength67%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20269th25/10%0%0.00
06/08/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
02/09/20264th10/147%40%-0.07