6
Airborne Elite
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |