2
It's Not Over Yet
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |