5
Ringgood
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 67
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |