1
Stjames
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 70
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 71% | -0.20 |
| 03/09/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |