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5

Sliceaway

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 67

Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

30%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 22/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m 11722/10C6C9 @ Gulfstream 12/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 56 · 7f110y Fm 120 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 56 parC9 @ Gulfstream 09/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 61 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 61 par9/01C9OR 61C9 @ Gulfstream 30/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 61 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 61 parC9 @ Gulfstream 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 66 par27/02C9OR 66C6 @ Gulfstream 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 1m110y Slo 120 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 71 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m 120 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 69 par22/06C6OR 69C9 @ Saratoga 26/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 70 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 68 · 1m70y 120 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 68 par12/08C6OR 68projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-07-26Saratoga?12th15th−3
2026-06-22Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-05-03Gulfstream?6th6th0
2026-02-27Gulfstream?2nd5th−3
2026-01-30Gulfstream?2nd5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1030/0122/0612/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength69%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20253rd12/137%71%+0.35
12/12/20254th12/137%40%+0.03
09/01/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
30/01/20262nd16/116%89%+0.73
27/02/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
03/05/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
22/06/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22
26/07/202612th50/10%0%0.00
12/08/20262nd13/266%80%+0.14