10
Clarividente
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 68
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/10 | 98% | 86% | -0.13 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |