Classiwest
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 59
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |