3
Buck Wild
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |