9
Magic Spin
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 72
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |