6
Max Foster
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |