8
Revivalism
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |