4
Blue Eyed Scout
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 69
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 19/02/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/5 | 98% | 83% | -0.15 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |